MÉRIDA (Interstat) — Venados will host Morelia on Sunday in a Liga de Expansión MX match at Estadio Olímpico Carlos Iturralde Rivero. Morelia enters with a 7-2 record across all competitions, while Venados is 4-4-1. The game is part of the Mexican second division’s regular season.

Morelia’s most recent result was a 2-0 home win over Leones Negros. René López, Raúl Sandoval and Josué Martínez each played 90 minutes in that victory, and Martínez also received a yellow card. López played all 90 minutes against Leones Negros and Oaxaca and logged 88 minutes at Zacatecas. Morelia won each of those matches. Morelia’s other results include a 1-0 road win at Zacatecas, a 4-1 home win over Oaxaca, a 1-0 road win at Dorados, a 2-1 road win at Azul Hidalgo, a 4-1 home win over Cancún and a 4-2 home win over La Paz. The club’s two losses came against Correcaminos and Piratas, by a combined 4-1 margin.

Venados’ most recent result was a 1-2 loss at Piratas. Santiago Perez Meraz went the full 90 minutes in goal in that match, as did Paul Kilani, while Santiago Naveda played 72 minutes. Perez Meraz also played all 90 minutes in Venados’ 5-0 home win over Tepatitlán. Venados has scored five against Tepatitlán, four against Dorados, three against Tapatío and three against Oaxaca. Venados lost 1-3 at Tlaxcala, 1-5 at Zacatecas and 3-4 at Club Jaiba Brava. Venados also drew 1-1 at Azul Hidalgo.

Morelia has scored 19 goals and conceded nine. Venados has scored 22 goals and conceded 19. Morelia has allowed one goal or fewer in seven of nine matches. Venados has allowed three goals or more in three matches. Morelia has won four of its last five matches, while Venados has won two of its last five. Morelia’s 4-1 wins over Oaxaca and Cancún are its largest. Venados’ 5-0 win over Tepatitlán is its largest.

Morelia’s upcoming schedule includes a home match against Tlaxcala, a road trip to Tepatitlán and a home match against Club Jaiba Brava. Venados will visit La Paz before hosting Leones Negros and then traveling to Cancún. Morelia is also set to travel to Tapatío and Alacranes, while Venados will host Alacranes and visit Correcaminos in later league fixtures. Both clubs are scheduled for five more league matches in the coming weeks.

Interstat’s game simulator projects a final score of Venados 2, Morelia 2. Interstat’s ELO system gives Venados a 63.3% probability to win. No point spread, betting line or over-under information was provided.