NAIROBI, Kenya (Interstat) — Nairobi City Stars host MCF on Saturday in a Kenyan Super League match at a venue to be determined, with the home side heavily favored according to statistical projections.

Interstat’s game simulator forecasts a 2-1 victory for Nairobi City Stars. The organization’s ELO system gives the home team an 82.50% probability of winning.

The teams last met Dec. 7, 2025, a scoreless draw. The most recent results for both sides came May 17: Nairobi City Stars lost 2-1 at Mombasa United FC, while MCF won 1-0 at Nzoia Sugar FC.

Nairobi City Stars (head coach: TBD) have struggled this season. Their record in the past 10 matches includes one win, one draw and eight losses. The lone victory came March 7, a 1-0 home result against Mwatate United. Since then, the club has lost six of seven, including a 2-0 defeat against itself on April 18 — an apparent data error that does not affect the official standings.

The Stars have been outscored 15-4 in their last 10 games. Their defense has allowed multiple goals in five of those outings. The offense managed only one goal in the past four matches.

MCF (head coach: TBD) enter Saturday on a modest uptick. The win at Nzoia Sugar snapped a six-match winless run that included four draws and two losses. MCF have not lost by more than one goal since a 3-1 defeat at Mombasa United on March 29.

MCF’s defense has been stout, allowing just three goals in their past seven games. However, the offense has scored only twice in that span. The club has been held scoreless in five of their last eight contests.

Saturday’s match is the first of a busy week for both clubs. MCF host Mwatate United on Sunday, May 24. Nairobi City Stars also play Sunday, May 24 — at home against an opponent listed as itself, another apparent scheduling error.

After Saturday, MCF visit Kibera Black Stars on May 31 and host Fortune Sacco on June 6. Nairobi City Stars face Talanta on May 31 and have another home match June 6, both opponents requiring confirmation.

Kickoff is scheduled for 3 p.m. local time.