WURZBURG, Germany (Interstat) — Wurzburger FV hosts Jahn Regensburg II on Saturday, May 16, in an Oberliga clash with playoff implications, but the two predictive models disagree on who holds the edge.

Interstat’s game simulator forecasts a 2-1 victory for the visitors, while the same company’s ELO system gives Wurzburger FV a 64.40% probability of winning.

The home side enters the match on a strong run. Wurzburger FV (10-4-6 in its last 20 league matches) defeated FSV Stadeln 1958 1-0 on May 2, and has won four of its past five games. The lone loss in that stretch came April 14, a 4-2 defeat at Neudrossenfeld. Overall, Wurzburger has been stingy at home, with its last three home contests producing shutouts: a 4-0 win over Neumarkt on April 11, a 2-0 victory against Fortuna Regensburg on March 28 and a 1-1 draw with TSV Kornburg on March 14.

Jahn Regensburg II (9-5-6 in its last 20) is also in good form, having won its last two matches: a 3-2 victory at ATSV Erlangen on May 8 and a 1-0 result over Erzgebirge Aue on April 7. However, the reserves squad has been inconsistent — it lost 2-1 at Bayern Hof on May 2 after a 4-3 win at Neudrossenfeld on April 24 and a 4-1 triumph at FSV Stadeln 1958 on April 11.

The most recent head-to-head meeting went heavily in Jahn Regensburg II’s favor: a 5-2 home win on Nov. 1, 2025. But Wurzburger has shown resilience since then, and the ELO model suggests that result may not be repeated.

Saturday’s match kicks off at 2 p.m. local time at Wurzburger’s home ground. The Oberliga is the fifth tier of German football, and both teams are jockeying for position in the league table with the season entering its final weeks.