FCM Aubervilliers vs Havre Caucriauville Sportif

PARIS (Interstat) — FCM Aubervilliers hosts Havre Caucriauville Sportif on Saturday, May 9, in a National 3 match that pits one of the division’s form sides against a struggling visitor.

Aubervilliers enters with momentum after a 2-2 draw at AS Saint-Ouen-l’Aumone on April 25, extending its unbeaten run to three matches. The team has won five of its last 10 games, including a 2-1 victory over FC Versailles 78 2 on April 18 and a 1-0 win at AS Trouville-Deauville-Villers on April 11. Its only loss in that stretch came March 28 at CMS Oissel, 1-0.

Home form has been reliable: Aubervilliers has not lost at its own ground since a 2-1 defeat to RC France Football on Feb. 7, going 3-2-1 in its last six home fixtures. The defense has been stingy, keeping clean sheets in six of its past 10 outings.

Havre Caucriauville Sportif, meanwhile, is searching for consistency. The visitors drew 1-1 at CS Bretigny Football on May 2, their third consecutive draw. In their last 11 matches, they have two wins, four draws and five losses — a stretch that includes a 3-1 defeat at SC Bastia 2 on April 11 and a 1-0 loss at C Chartres U19 on April 4.

Road results have been particularly difficult. Havre Caucriauville has managed one away win all season, a 1-0 victory at Caen on March 14. In its other five away games since Jan. 24, it has recorded two draws and three losses, scoring only twice.

Saturday’s match is part of the National 3, the fifth tier of French football. Both teams have experienced mixed campaigns, but Aubervilliers holds a clear edge in current form.

Interstat’s game simulator projects a 1-0 home victory, and the organization’s ELO system gives Aubervilliers a 78 percent probability of winning. The model has correctly predicted the winner in 62 percent of National 3 matches this season.

Kickoff is scheduled for 6 p.m. local time at Stade d’Aubervilliers. No injuries or suspensions were reported.