CARATE BRIANZA, Italy (Interstat) — Folgore Carate hosts Sondrio on Saturday, May 2, in a Serie D matchup that pits a surging home side against a visiting team seeking to rebound from a lopsided defeat.

The game at Stadio Comunale kicks off at the usual Sunday slot but is scheduled for Saturday, a shift typical of late-season fixtures in Italy’s fourth tier. Folgore Carate enters with momentum after a mixed stretch, most recently falling 3-1 at ASD Brusaporto on April 26. Prior to that, the team earned a 1-1 draw at Real Calepina, a 1-0 win at Scanzorosciate and a 3-1 home victory over Caldiero Terme. Overall, Folgore Carate has shown offensive firepower, scoring four goals in a win at AC ChievoVerona and five in a shutout of AVC Vogherese 1919 in January.

Sondrio, meanwhile, arrives after a 5-1 thrashing of Real Calepina on April 26, its biggest win of the season. That followed a 3-0 win at Oltrepo FBC and a 2-1 loss at Breno. The visitors have been inconsistent, with losses to Pavia and AC Leon and a surprising 2-2 draw against AC Milan’s youth side in March. Sondrio’s defense has been vulnerable, allowing at least two goals in five of their last 10 league games.

The teams last met Dec. 21, 2025, a 1-1 draw in Sondrio. In that match, both sides struggled to maintain possession, with Folgore Carate equalizing late.

Interstat’s game simulator projects a 3-1 victory for Folgore Carate, and its ELO system gives the home side an 87.1 percent probability of winning. The projections reflect Folgore’s home advantage and recent offensive output, but Sondrio’s explosive win over Real Calepina demonstrates the visitors’ ability to score in bunches.

With three points vital for playoff positioning in the crowded Serie D Group B, Saturday’s match could hinge on set pieces and midfield control. Folgore Carate’s high press against Sondrio’s counter-attacking style sets up an intriguing contrast.

Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. local time.