ANCONA, Italy (Interstat) — Ancona hosts SSD Notaresco Calcio on Sunday, May 3, in a Serie D clash as the home side looks to extend its strong run of form in the Italian fourth division.

Ancona enters the match following a scoreless draw at L’Aquila 1927 on April 26, a result that extended its unbeaten streak to three games. The club has won four of its last six matches, outscoring opponents 10-4 in that span. Ancona’s recent victories include a 3-0 win over Sammaurese on April 19 and a 2-1 decision at Fossombrone on April 12. The team’s only loss in its past five outings came April 2, a 2-0 defeat at home to Teramo.

Notaresco, meanwhile, is coming off a 2-1 loss at San Marino Calcio on April 26, its third defeat in four matches. The visitors have been inconsistent, with three wins, two draws and three losses in their last eight contests. Notable results include a 4-0 victory over Sammaurese on March 22 and a 3-0 win at Sora on March 15, but the club has struggled to maintain momentum, particularly on the road.

The teams met most recently Dec. 21, playing to a 1-1 draw at Notaresco. That result was the only head-to-head encounter between the sides in the available data. Ancona will have home-field advantage, where it has posted a 4-1-1 record in its past six league matches at Stadio del Conero.

According to Interstat’s game simulator, the projected final score is Ancona 2, Notaresco 1. The same system’s ELO model gives Ancona an 80.20 percent probability of winning, reflecting the home side’s superior recent form and statistical edge.

Notaresco’s season has been defined by occasional offensive outbursts — including the 4-0 blanking of Sammaurese and a 3-0 win at Sora — but also defensive lapses, such as allowing two goals in losses to San Marino and AS Ostiamare Lido Calcio. The visitors have scored 15 goals in their past 10 matches while conceding 12.

Ancona has been more consistent, particularly in defense, with three clean sheets in its last five games. The club has scored 13 goals in its past six outings, highlighted by a four-goal performance against Chieti on Feb. 15. The home side has also shown resilience, with three one-goal victories since mid-March.

Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. local time at Stadio del Conero. The match could have playoff implications as the Serie D season approaches its final stretch. Both teams will be looking to build momentum heading into the closing weeks of the campaign.