MIGORI, Kenya (Interstat) — A clash of contrasting projections awaits at Migori Stadium on Sunday when the host Migori Youth square off against Nzoia Sugar FC in a Kenyan Super League matchup.

The game, set for April 26, 2026, pits a home side riding a wave of form against a visitor seeking consistency. While Interstat’s game simulator forecasts a 1-0 victory for Nzoia Sugar, the same provider’s ELO system gives Migori Youth a commanding 76.10 percent probability of winning.

The teams met most recently Dec. 22, 2025, with Nzoia Sugar claiming a 1-0 shutout victory on its home turf.

Nzoia Sugar FC enters the match off a 2-0 win against Darajani Gogo FC on April 19. The victory snapped a two-game skid for the visitors, who had lost at Michael Olunga FA (2-0) and at home to 3K FC (3-1) in early April. Over their last 10 matches, Nzoia Sugar has posted a 5-5-0 record, with four clean sheets during that stretch but also three games in which they failed to score.

Migori Youth carries strong momentum into Sunday, having defeated Kabati Youth FC 2-1 on the road April 18. That result extended their winning streak to three games, following a 1-0 victory at Naivas FC on April 12 and a 3-0 demolition of Luanda Villa SC on April 5. The hosts have been formidable recently, winning seven of their last nine matches with only one loss in that span — a 1-0 defeat at Mwatate United on March 28.

For Nzoia Sugar, the path ahead includes a road matchup at MCF on May 2, followed by a home game against Naivas FC on May 10. Migori Youth will return home to face Michael Olunga FA on May 3 before traveling to Fortune Sacco on May 9.

Kickoff is scheduled for Sunday afternoon.