LYON, France (Interstat) — Lyon hosts Stade Rennais FC 1901 in a Ligue 1 matchup Sunday, with an Interstat game simulator projecting a 2-1 victory for the home side.

The match comes at a pivotal moment for both clubs as the season enters its final stretch.

Stade Rennais enters on a rare down note. The club lost 2-1 at home to FC Petit-Bard Montpellier on April 25, snapping a run of strong results. Before that defeat, Rennes had won four consecutive matches, including a 3-0 shutout at RC Strasbourg Alsace on April 19 and a 4-3 victory at Brest on April 4. The club’s record this season features notable highs, including a 3-1 win over Paris Saint-Germain on Feb. 13 and a 4-0 rout at Nice on March 8. Overall, Rennes has shown attacking teeth but occasional vulnerability at home.

Lyon, meanwhile, has been inconsistent. The club drew 3-3 at Ajaccio on April 19 in its most recent outing, a result that followed a 4-1 home win over Montpellier on April 18. That victory snapped a three-match winless run that included losses to Marseille II and ES Fosseenne and a draw with Le Havre. Lyon’s defensive struggles have been an issue: the club has conceded three goals in three of its last five matches. However, Lyon has also shown the ability to score, putting four past Montpellier and posting clean-sheet wins over Nice and Nantes earlier in the campaign.

The Interstat simulator’s projection of a narrow Lyon win reflects the home side’s advantage at Groupama Stadium against a Rennes team that, despite its quality, may still be shaking off the sting of its most recent loss.

Looking ahead, both clubs face demanding schedules. After Sunday’s contest, Rennes hosts Paris FC on May 10 before traveling to Marseille on May 17. Lyon visits Toulouse on May 10 and hosts Racing Club de Lens on May 17.

Kickoff is Sunday at Groupama Stadium.