ANDORRA LA VELLA, Andorra (Interstat) — Two clubs from the same parish meet Thursday, April 30, 2026, in a Copa Constitució matchup that pits a statistical contradiction against itself: Interstat’s game simulator projects a 1-0 victory for visiting UE Santa Coloma, while the company’s ELO system gives FC Santa Coloma an 83.80 percent probability to win.

The cup tie, scheduled at a venue to be determined in the Andorran capital, renews the intra-city derby between the principality’s most decorated club — FC Santa Coloma — and its upstart neighbor. Both sides enter the contest on the heels of contrasting form.

UE Santa Coloma (2-0-0 in its two listed matches this season) last played March 12, a 3-0 road win over Ordino. The visitors also posted a 2-0 shutout of Principat on Jan. 11. The club has not conceded a goal in either of those appearances.

FC Santa Coloma, by contrast, carries a deeper ledger and a mixed recent run. The home side played to a 0-0 draw Saturday, April 25 — its only listed match in that scoreless result. Prior to that, FC defeated Esper Andorra 4-0 on April 19, beat Penya Encarnada 2-0 on April 18, and drew 1-1 with IC d’Escaldes on April 12. Over its past 10 listed outings dating to March 1, FC Santa Coloma owns seven wins, two draws and one loss, with six clean sheets.

Thursday’s cup fixture carries weight beyond local bragging rights. The Copa Constitució is Andorra’s primary knockout competition, offering a pathway to European qualifying. For FC Santa Coloma — a 13-time league champion — the match represents an opportunity to assert dominance over its younger sibling club. For UE Santa Coloma, founded in 2008 as a breakaway, it is a chance to prove its simulator-backed projection was no fluke.

Both teams face busy schedules ahead. FC Santa Coloma plays at Esper Andorra on May 10, then hosts Ordino on the same date, followed by matches at Ranger’s on May 16 and at home against Pas de la Casa on May 17. UE Santa Coloma’s immediate future beyond Thursday was not immediately listed.

Kickoff is set for 8 p.m. local time.