FC

Estoril 2, Arouca 3

Monday, April 6, 2026 · Final · POR: Primeira Liga

8-10-16 · L1 · - (1723 ELO -12)

Arouca 3

12-6-16 · W2 · - (1788 ELO +12)

Estádio Municipal de Arouca · Arouca

Officials: António Nobre

Arouca vs Estoril

AROUCA, Portugal (Interstat) — In a frenetic and high-scoring affair to open their Primeira Liga campaign, Arouca edged visiting Estoril 3-2 on Monday, defying a tense finale to secure a victory at Estádio Municipal de Arouca. The match, which featured five goals, six yellow cards and significant contributions from substitutes, delivered a dramatic outcome that surpassed the pregame projection of a 1-1 draw by Interstat’s game simulator. The analytics firm’s ELO system had heavily favored the home side with an 85.7% win probability, a forecast Arouca ultimately justified but not without a stern challenge. The narrative of explosive starts was… Read more...


Top Statlines

Forecasting

ELO Probability POR-ESTO 62.5%
Projected Score POR-AROU 1 POR-ESTO 1

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