CHOLOMA, Honduras (Interstat) — Atletico Choloma defeated Real Espana 3-2 in a Liga Nacional match Thursday at Estadio Municipal Rubén Deras, overcoming a statistical projection that heavily favored the visitors.

Franklin Flores opened the scoring for the hosts in first-half stoppage time. Real Espana’s Yethson Chavez equalized in the 56th, but Eddie Hernández restored Atletico Choloma’s lead in the 74th. Marco Aceituno leveled again for Real Espana eight minutes later before Bryan Bernárdez netted the dramatic winner in the 91st minute.

The result defied a pregame projection from Interstat, which gave Real Espana a 77.7% probability to win. The match was part of Honduran domestic league play.