0-0-1 · L1 · - (1632 ELO +23)

0-0-1 · L1 · - (1575 ELO -23)

Stadio Danilo Martelli, Mantova

Officials: Andrea Calzavara

Mantova vs Avellino

MANTOVA, Italy (Interstat) — Avellino earned a crucial 2-0 road victory over Mantova in a Serie B match on Saturday, April 18, 2026, at Stadio Danilo Martelli, defying pregame projections with a pair of second-half goals from substitutes. The result, which saw the visiting Wolves secure all three points, ran counter to statistical forecasts. The Interstat game simulator had projected a 1-1 draw, and its ELO system gave Mantova a 56.4 percent probability of winning the contest. Instead, Avellino’s bench made the decisive difference to snap a three-match winless streak in the league. After a tense and goalless first hour,… Read more...


Top Statlines

Forecasting

ELO Probability ITA-AVEL 56.2%
Projected Score ITA-MANT 1 ITA-AVEL 1

Team Schedules