BREMEN, Germany (Interstat) — RB Leipzig opened its Bundesliga campaign with a dramatic 2-1 victory over Werder Bremen on Saturday, snatching a winner deep into stoppage time to defy pregame projections at Weserstadion.

The match, which kicked off the 2025-26 German top-flight season for both clubs, unfolded in stark contrast to statistical forecasts. Despite data analysts at Interstat giving the home side a 61 percent probability of victory, it was the visiting Leipzig that found a way to secure all three points in the dying moments.

Leipzig struck first against the run of play in the 15th minute. Substitute Antonio Nusa, who had entered the match early, announced his impact by firing the visitors into an early lead. Werder Bremen, spurred on by a home crowd expecting a positive start to the season, controlled large stretches of the first half but could not find an equalizer before the break.

The home side’s persistence paid off seven minutes after the restart. In the 52nd minute, another substitute made his mark, as Werder Bremen’s Rômulo leveled the score with an assist from defender Marco Friedl. The goal set up a tense and increasingly physical final half-hour, with both teams pushing for a decisive goal.

The match seemed destined for a draw as the clock ticked past the 90-minute mark. However, in the fourth minute of added time, Leipzig launched one final attack. Midfielder Cameron Puertas, who had been shown a yellow card earlier, provided the crucial pass to fellow substitute Tidiam Gomis. Gomis then set up forward Salim Musah, who delivered the crushing blow to the home supporters, slotting home the winner to complete Leipzig’s swift counter.

The late goal sparked a frenetic close to the match, resulting in two more yellow cards. Gomis was booked in the second minute of stoppage time just prior to his assist, and Friedl received a caution for Werder Bremen in the eighth added minute following the restart.

The final whistle confirmed a perfect start to the Bundesliga season for RB Leipzig, which begins with a record of one win and no losses. For Werder Bremen, the defeat marks a disappointing start with no wins and one loss. The result also aligns exactly with the final score projected by Interstat’s game simulator, even as it overturned the same firm’s probability model favoring the hosts.

Key performances came primarily from substitutes, with Nusa and Rômulo scoring off the bench for their respective sides, while Musah’s last-gasp winner sealed the points for Leipzig. The victory gives RB Leipzig early momentum as it looks to challenge for honors this season, while Werder Bremen is left to regroup after a deflating home opener.