0-0-0 · - (1604 ELO +31)

Lyon 1

0-0-0 · - (1759 ELO -31)

Groupama Stadium · Décines-Charpieu

Officials: François Letexier

Lyon vs AS Monaco FC

DECINES-CHARPIEU, France (Interstat) — In a stunning reversal of pregame projections, AS Monaco FC opened its Ligue 1 season with a 2-1 victory over Lyon on Sunday, March 22, 2026, at Groupama Stadium, handing the heavily favored hosts a defeat defying statistical models. The match, played before a subdued home crowd, was defined by second-half efficiency from Monaco’s substitutes and a disastrous late red card for Lyon, upending expectations that heavily favored the home side. Pre-match analytics from Interstat gave Lyon a 96.20 percent probability to win, with its game simulator projecting a 2-1 victory for the hosts. The actual… Read more...


Top Statlines

Forecasting

ELO Probability FRA-LYON 93.2%
Projected Score FRA-LYON 2 FRA-ASDP 1

Team Schedules