3-3-4 · L1 · - (1740 ELO -15)

2-2-2 · D1 · - (1738 ELO +15)

Estádio de São Miguel

Officials: Cláudio Pereira

Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente

PONTA DELGADA, Azores (March 21, 2026) (Interstat) — Santa Clara opened its Primeira Liga season with a dramatic 1-0 victory over Gil Vicente on Saturday, scoring deep into second-half stoppage time to defy pregame projections at Estádio de São Miguel. The match, a low-energy affair for long stretches, was decided in the 95th minute by forward Vinícius. The goal came against the run of most statistical models, as Interstat’s game simulator had projected a 1-1 draw and its ELO rating system gave Gil Vicente a 55.6 percent probability of securing an away win. Instead, Santa Clara secured all three points… Read more...


Top Statlines

Forecasting

ELO Probability POR-GILV 54.0%
Projected Score POR-SANT 1 POR-GILV 1

Team Schedules