RIYADH, Saudi Arabia (Interstat) — In a stunning upset of projections, Al Taawon fought favored Al Hilal to a 2-2 draw in a Saudi Pro League match Saturday at Kingdom Arena.

Interstat’s metrics gave Al Hilal a 94.9% probability to win, but the visitors rallied twice. Mohamed Meité opened the scoring for Al Hilal in the 43rd minute. Al Taawon substitute Andrei Girotto then headed in two second-half goals, in the 55th and 67th minutes, to twice put his side ahead. Al Hilal’s Marcos Leonardo secured the final draw with a 77th-minute equalizer.

Girotto, booked earlier, was the standout with two goals and an assist. The result leaves both teams with identical records in league play.