UDINE, Italy (Interstat) — Udinese will look to reverse a recent lopsided defeat and capitalize on home advantage when it hosts Fiorentina in a Serie A match on Monday, March 2, 2026, at the Bluenergy Stadium.

The fixture arrives with Fiorentina holding a significant psychological edge from the last meeting, a commanding 5-1 victory at the Stadio Artemio Franchi on Dec. 21, 2025. However, the teams enter in contrasting form.

Fiorentina comes to Udine with momentum, unbeaten in its last four matches across all competitions (3-0-1). This streak includes a 1-0 win over Pisa on Feb. 23 and a 3-0 victory at Poland’s Jagiellonia Bialystok in European play on Feb. 19. Their recent Serie A form has been solid, with a 2-1 win at Como and a 2-2 draw with Torino preceding the European fixtures.

Udinese, meanwhile, seeks to halt a two-game league losing skid. Following a promising 1-0 home win over AS Roma on Feb. 2, Udinese has fallen 2-1 at Sassuolo and 1-0 at Bologna in its most recent outing on Feb. 23. Their home form has been inconsistent, with just one win in their last five domestic matches at the Bluenergy Stadium.

Statistical models favor the hosts to turn the tide. Interstat’s game simulator projects a 2-1 victory for Udinese, and its ELO rating system gives Udinese a 61.6% probability of winning Monday’s contest.

The match is a crucial pivot point for both clubs’ schedules. Udinese faces a daunting stretch ahead, with upcoming fixtures against Atalanta, Juventus and Genoa. Fiorentina’s next month includes clashes with Inter Milan and a return leg against US Cremonese.

Kickoff is set for 8:45 p.m. local time (1945 GMT). The referee assignment will be announced by the Italian Football Federation (FIGC) prior to matchday.