BYTOM, Poland (Interstat) — Ruch Chorzow earned a narrow 1-0 away victory over Polonia Bytom in an I Liga match on Sunday, defying pregame projections. The lone goal came from Daniel Szczepan in the 69th minute at Stadion Polonii Bytom.

The result handed Ruch Chorzow a winning start to its league campaign, moving its record to 1-0. Polonia Bytom begins its season 0-1. The outcome surprised statistical models, which heavily favored the home side. Interstat’s pregame simulator had projected a 1-1 draw, and its ELO system gave Polonia Bytom a 67.10 percent probability to win.