LYON, France (Interstat) — Lyon and Paris FC played to a 1-1 draw in a Ligue 1 match Sunday at Groupama Stadium, a result that defied heavy statistical favoritism for the hosts.

Interstat’s projections gave Lyon a 97.6% probability to win with an expected score of 2-1. The stalemate leaves both clubs with identical early records of zero wins, zero losses and one draw in league play.

The game’s only goals came in the 63rd minute when substitute Marshall Munetsi scored for Paris FC, assisted by midfielder Tyler Morton. Lyon’s equalizer came from a goal by an unspecified player, assisted by defender Nicolás Tagliafico. Morton and Tagliafico each received yellow cards in the first half.