DASAKI ACHNAS, Cyprus (Interstat) — In a stunning reversal of both form and pregame projections, last-place Ethnikos Achna rallied to defeat visiting APOEL 3-2 in a frenetic 1. Division match on Sunday, Feb. 15, 2026.

The result defied statistical forecasts, which heavily favored the home side, and avenged a 4-1 loss to APOEL from their previous meeting in November.

The match at Stadio Dasaki Achnas exploded into life immediately, with Ethnikos Achna’s Nicolás Andereggen silencing any early nerves by firing the home side into a lead just two minutes after kickoff. However, APOEL responded swiftly, leveling the score in the 14th minute through a goal from Miloš Degenek. Andereggen struck again on the half-hour mark, restoring Ethnikos Achna’s advantage with his second goal of the contest and sending the teams into halftime with the hosts leading 2-1.

The second half saw APOEL apply sustained pressure in search of an equalizer. It finally came in the 74th minute when Nicolas Koutsakos found the net to make it 2-2, seemingly shifting momentum toward the visitors.

Yet Ethnikos Achna, demonstrating resilience that has been scarce in a difficult season, mounted a rapid and decisive response. Only seven minutes after conceding, Christos Giousis put the home side back in front in the 81st minute. The comeback was sealed just four minutes later when David Abagna scored Ethnikos Achna’s third goal, securing a memorable 3-2 victory.

The win provides a vital boost for Ethnikos Achna, improving their league record to five wins, 10 losses and two draws. Despite the victory, they remain at the bottom of the 1. Division table. For APOEL, the loss is a significant setback in their campaign, dropping their league record to five wins, six losses and four draws and halting the momentum from a 3-2 win over EN Paralimniou just four days prior.

The match outcome stood in direct contrast to pregame analytics. Interstat’s game simulator had projected a 2-1 victory for APOEL, while its ELO rating system gave Ethnikos Achna a 59.9 percent probability to win, a forecast that ultimately proved correct despite the dramatic manner of the victory.

Ethnikos Achna will look to build on this result when they travel to face Apollon on Saturday, Feb. 21. APOEL, seeking to rebound, will host AS Omonoia Leukosias the following day, Sunday, Feb. 22.