ISTANBUL (Interstat) — Nottingham Forest delivered a stunning 3-0 away victory over Fenerbahce in Europa League play on Thursday, defying pregame projections at Ülker Stadyumu.

The visitors scored all three goals in the first half. Murillo opened the scoring in the 21st minute, followed by Igor Jesus in the 43rd and Morgan Gibbs-White just before halftime in the 50th. All three scorers entered the match as substitutes.

Interstat’s game simulator had projected a narrow 1-0 Forest win, while its ELO system gave Fenerbahce a 62.3% probability to win. The result opens the European campaign for both sides, with Forest starting 1-0 and Fenerbahce 0-1.