FC

AD Ceuta FC 2, PAOK 1

Thursday, February 19, 2026 · Final · EUR: UEFA Europa League

0-0-0 · - (1415 ELO +32)

PAOK 1

5-5-5 · L2 · - (1764 ELO -32)

Stadio Toumbas · Stadio, Greece

Officials: Ivan Kružliak

PAOK vs AD Ceuta FC

THESSALONIKI, Greece (Interstat) — In a stunning Europa League upset that defied overwhelming odds, Spanish club AD Ceuta FC emerged victorious with a 2-1 win over Greek side PAOK on Thursday afternoon at Stadio Toumbas. The result, played on Feb. 19, 2026, sent shockwaves through the competition as the visiting Ceuta, a significant underdog, secured a memorable away victory to open its group stage campaign. Pre-match projections heavily favored the home side, with Interstat’s ELO system giving PAOK a 95.90 percent probability to win. The same simulator had predicted a 1-1 draw, but Ceuta outperformed all expectations. The match began… Read more...


Top Statlines

Forecasting

ELO Probability GRE-PAO1 95.7%
Projected Score GRE-PAOX 1 ESP-XYGH 1

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