(Interstat) — AC Bra defeated AS Gubbio 1910 1-0 on Saturday in a Serie C match that defied statistical projections. The game’s lone goal came from Ismet Sinani in the 35th minute at Stadio Giuseppe Sivori in Sestri Levante. The result improved AC Bra’s record to 1-0-0 in the competition, while AS Gubbio 1910 fell to 0-1-0. The outcome contrasted with a pre-game simulation that had predicted a Gubbio victory. Analysts, however, had favored Bra with a 69.5% win probability according to an ELO rating system.