MANSFIELD, England (Interstat) — Mansfield Town defeated Reading 1-0 in a League One match Tuesday at One Call Stadium, defying pregame projections.

Louis Reed scored the game’s only goal in the 69th minute, securing the victory for the home side. Substitute Finley Burns provided the assist on the decisive play after entering the match.

The result contradicted statistical forecasts, which heavily favored Reading. Interstat’s game simulator had predicted a 1-1 draw, and its ELO system gave Reading a 59.7 percent probability to win.

With the loss, Reading begins its League One season 0-1. Mansfield Town opens its campaign 1-0. Burns and Reading’s Lewis Wing received yellow cards during the match.