ALVERCA DO RIBATEJO, Portugal (Interstat) — In a match that followed its statistical projection almost to the minute, Alverca and Estrela Amadora played to a 1-1 draw in Primeira Liga action Saturday at Campo Futebol Clube Alverca.

The result, which saw a late equalizer cancel out an even later opener, left both clubs with identical records to start their league campaigns: no wins, no losses and one draw.

The game, a tactical affair marked by physical midfield play, saw its first major moment in the 10th minute when Estrela Amadora substitute Paulo Moreira, who had entered the match early, received a yellow card. The caution set a tone for a contest where space was limited and challenges were firm.

The deadlock persisted deep into the second half as both defenses held firm. The breakthrough finally came with just three minutes remaining in regulation. Alverca midfielder Vasco Moreira, who was later booked in the 66th minute, provided the crucial pass, setting up forward Fabrício Garcia for the game’s first goal in the 87th minute. The strike sent the home supporters into a frenzy with what appeared to be a certain winner.

Estrela Amadora, however, mounted a desperate and immediate response. The visitors, who saw substitute Yahya Kalley cautioned in the 64th minute, found their answer in stoppage time. Another substitute, Paulo Moreira, turned provider this time, delivering an assist to fellow reserve Sydney van Hooijdonk. The forward slotted home the leveling goal in the dying moments, snatching a point for the visitors and silencing the home crowd.

The final whistle confirmed a result that had been narrowly forecast. According to Interstat’s pregame projections, the ELO rating system gave Alverca a 54 percent probability of victory, while the organization’s game simulator had predicted the exact 1-1 scoreline.

With the draw, both teams remain undefeated but also without a victory early in the Primeira Liga season. Their overall records across all competitions also mirror each other, standing at zero wins, zero losses and one draw. The shared point offers a foundation for each side as they continue their campaigns, with Alverca perhaps ruing a win that slipped away in the final moments and Estrela Amadora buoyed by a resilient comeback on the road.