4-1-0 · D1 · - (1418 ELO +30)

0-0-0 · - (1589 ELO -30)

Bauvill Stadium, Chatham

Southend United Upsets Chatham Town With Late Goal in FA Trophy Match

CHATHAM, England (Jan. 31, 2026) (Interstat) — Southend United FC delivered a significant FA Trophy upset Saturday, defeating Chatham Town 1-0 at Bauvill Stadium. The lone goal came in the 68th minute from defender Gus Scott-Morriss, securing the road victory. The result defied pre-match projections, as statistical models heavily favored the home side. Interstat’s ELO system gave Chatham Town a 70.3% probability to win, while its simulator predicted a 3-0 Southend victory. The win gives Southend United a 1-0 record in the competition this season, while Chatham Town falls to 0-1. Both clubs hold identical records across all competitions. Read more...


Forecasting

ELO Probability ENG-CHAT 89.6%
Projected Score ENG-SOZD 3 ENG-CHAT 0

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