3-2-1 · D2 · - (1740 ELO -17)

22-15-11 · D1 · - (1775 ELO +17)

St. Mary's Stadium · Southampton, Hampshire

Officials: Matthew Corlett

Southampton vs Leicester City

SOUTHAMPTON, England (Interstat) — Southampton delivered a significant upset in the FA Cup fifth round on Saturday, overcoming long odds and a late equalizer to defeat Leicester City 2-1 in extra time at St Mary’s Stadium. The match, played on Feb. 14, 2026, defied pregame projections that heavily favored the visiting Foxes. According to Interstat’s ELO system, Leicester City entered with a 69.4 percent probability to advance. The data firm’s simulator had predicted a 1-1 draw through regulation, a forecast that proved partially accurate before Southampton found a dramatic winner. For 50 minutes, the contest was a tense, physical stalemate.… Read more...


Top Statlines

Forecasting

ELO Probability ENG-LEIC 50.6%
Projected Score ENG-SOUT 1 ENG-LEIC 1

Team Schedules