VARESINA, Italy (Interstat) — Two sides trending in opposite directions will meet Tuesday when Varesina hosts Folgore Carate in a Serie D fixture at Stadio Franco Ossola.

The match kicks off at 2 p.m. local time (1300 GMT) on Jan. 6, 2026, as the Italian fourth-tier league resumes following the winter break.

Varesina enters on a downturn, having lost its final two matches of 2025. A 2-1 home defeat to Caldiero Terme on Dec. 21 followed a 2-0 loss at Breno on Dec. 14. The club has managed just one win in its last seven league outings, a 2-1 victory over AC ChievoVerona on Nov. 30. Form at home has been inconsistent, with just one win in its last five matches in front of its supporters.

In contrast, Folgore Carate carries an eight-match unbeaten streak into the new year. Its last outing was a 1-1 draw at Sondrio on Dec. 21. Prior to that, the club secured three wins and four draws since its last defeat, a 3-2 loss to AC Milan’s U-23 side on Oct. 26. That resilient run has seen Folgore Carate climb the table, demonstrating a particular strength on the road with three wins and two draws in its last five away fixtures.

The statistical outlook points to a tight contest. Interstat’s ELO rating system gives Varesina a narrow 53.20 percent probability to win. The same outlet’s game simulator projects a 1-1 draw, suggesting a low-scoring, evenly matched affair.

Key to the result will be whether Varesina can rediscover its defensive solidity after conceding multiple goals in its last two games. Folgore Carate, while difficult to beat, has seen three of its last four matches end in draws, indicating a potential struggle to find a decisive winning goal.

Tuesday’s match offers Varesina a chance to reverse its slide and start 2026 with a crucial home victory. For the visiting Folgore Carate, extending its unbeaten run could provide vital momentum for a push up the Serie D standings.