BELFAST, Northern Ireland (Interstat) — Glentoran BU W overturned an early deficit to defeat Coleraine FC 2-1 in a Women’s Premiership League Cup group stage match on Tuesday, a result that defied one statistical projection while emphatically confirming another.

The contest at BetMcLean Oval saw the visiting Coleraine side strike first, deep into first-half stoppage time. Patrick Hoban found the net in the 45th plus first minute, giving the underdogs a surprising lead at the interval. That advantage stood in stark contrast to the pre-match analytics from Interstat, whose ELO rating system had given Glentoran BU W a 98.70 percent probability to win.

Any notion of an upset was quickly dispelled after the restart. Glentoran BU W needed only eight minutes of the second half to draw level. Joel Cooper scored the equalizer in the 53rd minute, shifting the momentum firmly in favor of the home side.

The decisive goal arrived in the final moments of regular time. Jordan Jenkins became the hero for Glentoran BU W, scoring in the 94th minute to complete the comeback and secure a 2-1 victory. The late winner delivered a dramatic conclusion that also contradicted Interstat’s game simulator, which had projected a 2-0 victory for Coleraine FC.

The result provides a positive start to the cup campaign for Glentoran BU W, which improved its record in this competition to one win and zero losses. For Coleraine FC, the narrow defeat marks an inauspicious beginning, leaving them with zero wins and one loss in the League Cup. The records across all competitions mirror those cup marks for both sides following this opening fixture.

The match, organized by the Women’s Premiership League Cup, showcased a resilient performance from the home team after conceding late in the first half. Glentoran BU W managed to translate its overwhelming favoritism in predictive models into a tangible, if hard-fought, result on the pitch. Coleraine FC, despite the loss, will take encouragement from a competitive performance that pushed one of the league’s strongest sides to the final minutes.