TORREÓN, Mexico (Interstat) — Manuel Capasso scored in the 21st minute to give Atlas a 1-0 victory over Santos Laguna in a Liga MX match Sunday at Estadio Nuevo Corona.

The decisive goal came against the run of statistical projections, which favored the home side. Atlas, the visiting team, secured the win despite Santos Laguna being forecast with a 54.6 percent probability to win by one analytics system.

Capasso, a substitute, provided the game’s only offense. The match grew increasingly chippy, featuring nine yellow cards issued by the officiating crew. The result gives Atlas a winning start to its league campaign, while Santos Laguna begins with a defeat.