0-0-0 · - (1635 ELO +21)

0-0-0 · - (1544 ELO -21)

Estadio BBVA · Guadalupe

Officials: Víctor Cáceres

Monterrey vs Guadalajara

GUADALUPE, Nuevo León (Interstat) — In a stunning reversal of pregame projections, visiting Guadalajara rode a trio of second-half substitute goals to a 3-2 victory over Monterrey in a Liga MX match on Saturday, March 21, 2026, at Estadio BBVA Bancomer. The result defied statistical models, including Interstat’s game simulator, which had projected a 1-1 draw, and its ELO system, which gave Monterrey a 61.2 percent probability of winning. Instead, Guadalajara opened its season with a statement win, while Monterrey began its campaign with a home defeat. The first half was a tense, physical affair with few clear chances. The… Read more...


Top Statlines

Forecasting

ELO Probability MEX-GUAD 62.9%
Projected Score MEX-MONT 1 MEX-GUAD 1

Team Schedules