0-0-1 · L1 · - (1403 ELO +29)

0-1-1 · L1 · - (1590 ELO -29)

Estadio Bellavista de Ambato · Ambato, Ecuador

Officials: Yerson Zambrano

Macara vs CD Cuenca

AMBATO, Ecuador (Interstat) — Defying pregame projections, visiting CD Cuenca secured a narrow 1-0 victory over Macara in a Liga Pro match at Estadio Bellavista Universidad Indoamérica on Saturday, Dec. 13, 2025. The result, decided by a first-half goal from defender José Luis Marrufo, handed Macara its first loss of the domestic season while propelling CD Cuenca to a perfect start in league play. The outcome was a significant upset, as statistical models heavily favored the home side. Interstat’s game simulator had projected a 2-1 win for Macara, and its ELO system gave Macara a 77.90 percent probability of victory.… Read more...


Top Statlines

Forecasting

ELO Probability ECU-MACA 88.6%
Projected Score ECU-MACA 2 ECU-CDBZ 1

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