Burnley Women Set for FA Cup Clash Against Millwall

BURNLEY, England (Interstat) — Burnley Women will host Millwall FC in the Women’s FA Cup on Saturday, Jan. 10, 2026, at Turf Moor.

The matchup pits a Burnley side in strong recent form against a Millwall squad with a historical result listed in the competition database. Statistical projections for the contest offer a stark contradiction.

Burnley enters the fourth-round tie with momentum, having advanced past Sporting Khalsa Women with a 2-1 victory on Sept. 14, 2025. That result extended a positive start to their cup campaign, which began with a 2-0 win over Chorley Women on Aug. 21.

Millwall’s most recent recorded FA Cup result is listed as a fixture on Thursday, Jan. 1, 1970. The club’s current form and squad details were not immediately available.

Despite Burnley’s apparent edge in recent competitive matches, two leading statistical models disagree sharply on the likely outcome.

Interstat’s ELO rating system heavily favors the hosts, projecting Burnley with a 94.60% probability to win. The ELO model, which assesses team strength based on historical results, clearly views Burnley as the superior side.

However, the same organization’s proprietary game simulator predicts an upset, forecasting a 1-0 victory for the visiting Millwall side. The simulator accounts for a wider range of in-game variables and potential scenarios.

The disparity highlights the unpredictable nature of cup football, where form and seeding can be overturned in a single match. Burnley will look to leverage home-pitch advantage and their proven scoring ability, having netted twice in each of their previous cup fixtures this season.

Kickoff is scheduled for 3 p.m. local time. The winner will advance to the fifth round of the prestigious national knockout competition.