LEICESTER, England (Interstat) — Leicester City Women opened their Women’s FA Cup campaign with a 2-0 victory over Cheltenham Town Women on Saturday at EV Charger Points Stadium. The win defied a pregame projection that favored the home side.

Patson Daka opened the scoring in the 23rd minute. Stephy Mavididi doubled the lead just before halftime in the 45th minute, with both second-half substitutes finding the net. Assists came from Luke Thomas and Jonathan Tomkinson, who were both later booked in the 87th minute.

The result gave Leicester a winning start in the competition while Cheltenham began with a loss. Interstat’s metrics had given Leicester a 70.6% probability to win despite simulating a 2-1 scoreline for the hosts.