HAVANA (Interstat) — A pivotal late-season clash in Cuba’s Primera Division will see first-place La Habana host third-place Guantanamo on Monday, Dec. 8, 2025, at Estadio Pedro Marrero.

La Habana (10-2-3) enters atop the table following a decisive 4-2 road victory at Cienfuegos last Friday. Their potent attack, which has scored three or more goals in five matches this season, will be tested by a stout Guantanamo defense. However, consistency has been an issue; a 3-2 loss at Santiago de Cuba on Oct. 22 preceded the Cienfuegos win.

Guantanamo (7-8-0) arrives unbeaten in its last 10 league matches but seeking its first win in three outings after consecutive draws. It played to a 3-3 stalemate at Santiago de Cuba last Friday, preceded by a 1-1 home draw with Villa Clara. Its strength has been a formidable home record, but this critical test comes on the road. A 6-0 rout of Granma in June highlights its explosive potential.

Statistical models favor the capital city side. Interstat’s game simulator projects a 2-1 victory for La Habana, while its ELO rating system gives the hosts a 60.10 percent probability of winning.

The matchup features a contrast in styles: La Habana’s high-scoring offense against Guantanamo’s resilient, unbeaten streak. Key for Guantanamo will be translating its defensive solidity into a positive road result, while La Habana aims to leverage home-field advantage to solidify its standing at the summit.

The fixture carries significant weight in the tight title race. Both teams face quick turnarounds, with La Habana hosting Las Tunas and Guantanamo traveling to Cienfuegos on Wednesday, Dec. 10.

Kickoff is set for 8 p.m. local time.