GUAYAQUIL, Ecuador (Interstat) — Visiting Macara defeated Emelec 2-0 on Monday in a Liga Pro match at Estadio George Capwell, defying pregame projections.

Interstat’s metrics heavily favored Emelec, giving the home side a 64.1 percent probability to win and simulating a 1-1 draw. Macara’s substitutes instead delivered a decisive victory. Federico Paz opened the scoring in first-half stoppage time, and Janpol Morales added a second in the 66th minute.

The match was contentious, featuring nine yellow cards. Macara’s Facundo Castelli received a red card in the 41st minute, but his team held the lead and secured the shutout. The result gives Macara a winning start to the Liga Pro season, while Emelec begins with a loss.