BEIRUT (Interstat) — A clash of Lebanese football titans is set for Saturday as Al Ahed SC hosts rival Al Riyadi Al Abbasiyah Club in a domestic cup fixture.

The match, organized by the Lebanese Football Association, will be played on Nov. 22, 2025. Despite playing on their home pitch, Al Ahed faces a formidable challenge against an Al Riyadi side looking to advance in the tournament.

Statistical projections for the game present a conflicting outlook. The Interstat game simulator predicts a narrow 1-0 victory for the visiting Al Riyadi Al Abbasiyah Club. However, the same organization’s ELO rating system gives Al Ahed SC a significant 65.30 percent probability of winning the match.

The discrepancy in forecasts underscores the unpredictable nature of the rivalry and the cup competition. The historical data provided for each team’s most recent result was incomplete, listing a date of Jan. 1, 1970, for both clubs.

The match is expected to draw a capacity crowd, with Al Ahed looking to leverage its home-field advantage and fulfill its status as the ELO favorite, while Al Riyadi will aim to execute the defensive strategy suggested by the scoreline simulator to secure an upset victory.