NAIROBI, Kenya (Interstat) — A struggling Ulinzi Stars FC side will look to build on a rare victory when it visits a Sofapaka club favored by statistical models in a Kenyan FKF Premier League match on Saturday.

The Soldiers (Ulinzi Stars) snapped a four-game losing streak across all competitions with a 1-0 road win over AP’s Bomet FC on Wednesday. Prior to that, they had lost consecutively to Shabana, Bidco United, Homeboyz and Mara Sugar FC, managing just one goal in that dismal stretch. They sit near the bottom of the league table.

Sofapaka’s form has been inconsistent, mixing promising wins with frustrating losses. They are coming off a 2-0 defeat to Bandari FC last Saturday. However, in their previous match, they secured a solid 2-0 home victory over Posta Rangers FC. Their season has been a series of swings, including a 3-0 rout of Nairobi United FC and a 2-2 draw with Mara Sugar FC.

According to Interstat’s projections, Sofapaka holds a significant advantage. The game simulator predicts a 1-0 victory for the home team, while its ELO rating system gives Sofapaka an 84.80 percent probability of winning.

The matchup at a Nairobi stadium pits Ulinzi’s recently anemic attack against a Sofapaka defense that has shown it can be stout, having kept clean sheets in two of its last five league outings. Ulinzi will need to find consistent offense to defy the odds and secure a positive result on the road.