PARRAMATTA, Australia (Interstat) — Ryan Fraser scored in second-half stoppage time to give Western Sydney W a 1-0 victory over Perth Glory in an A-League match Sunday at CommBank Stadium.

The decisive moment came in the 92nd minute, breaking a deadlock in what had been a tightly contested season opener for both sides. Perth’s Rhys Bozinovski received a yellow card in the 85th minute shortly before the late winner.

The result defied the pregame projection from Interstat, which had simulated a 2-1 win for Western Sydney. Their ELO rating system gave the home side an 80.5% probability to win. With the win, Western Sydney begins its campaign with a victory while Perth starts with a loss.