FOLKESTONE, England (Interstat) — AFC Totton delivered a significant upset in the FA Trophy on Saturday, defeating a favored Folkestone Invicta side 2-1 at Alcaline Stadium.

The visitors defied pregame projections that heavily favored the home squad, with Interstat’s ELO system giving Folkestone Invicta a 75.20 percent probability of victory. A separate simulation had forecast a 1-0 victory for AFC Totton, but the actual match produced more goals and a different winning margin.

AFC Totton set the tone early, with Jake Hutchinson opening the scoring in the 29th minute. The lead was short-lived, however, as Folkestone Invicta’s Malachi Linton found an equalizer just nine minutes later in the 38th minute.

The match appeared destined for extra time as the second half wore on with neither side able to break the deadlock. The decisive moment came deep into stoppage time when Scott Rendell scored for AFC Totton in the 88th minute, securing a dramatic late victory for the visitors.

The result marks a successful start to AFC Totton’s campaign in the national knockout competition, improving their record in the FA Trophy to one win and no losses. For Folkestone Invicta, the loss is their first in this season’s tournament, moving their FA Trophy record to two wins and one loss.

Across all competitions this season, AFC Totton remains perfect with one win and no losses. Folkestone Invicta, despite the setback, holds a strong overall record of four wins and one loss. The defeat snapped a four-game winning streak for the home side, which included decisive victories over Burgess Hill Town, AFC Dunstable, Maidstone United and Sevenoaks Town dating back to late August.

The victory sends AFC Totton into the next round with momentum, while Folkestone Invicta’s focus will shift to regrouping after a surprising cup exit on their home pitch.