MELBOURNE, Australia (Interstat) — Melbourne City opened its A-League season with a 1-0 upset victory over Brisbane Roar at AAMI Park on Tuesday, defying heavy pregame odds.

The match’s lone goal came early from midfielder Max Caputo in the 11th minute, assisted by defender Nathaniel Atkinson. The home side’s defense then secured the clean sheet against a Brisbane side that was projected to win. A Interstat game simulator had predicted a 2-1 Brisbane victory, with its ELO system giving the Roar a 79.6% probability to win.

The physical contest featured six yellow cards, including five in the second half. With the result, Melbourne City begins its campaign at 1-0-0, while Brisbane Roar starts 0-1-0.