RIGA, Latvia (Interstat) — Grobiņas SC and Rīga FC played to a 1-1 draw in a 1. Liga match at Stadions Daugava on Sunday, a result that defied statistical projections. Rīga FC was given an 88.2 percent probability to win by Interstat’s ELO system, which had projected a 2-0 victory for the visitors.

Marko Regža opened the scoring for Rīga FC in the 22nd minute. The lead held until the 66th minute when Artjoms Puzirevskis equalized for the home side, assisted by Ralfs Džeriņš. Puzirevskis also assisted on Regža’s earlier goal. The physical match featured seven yellow cards. Both clubs begin their league campaigns with a 0-0-1 record.