0-0-0 · - (1997 ELO 0)

0-0-0 · - (1856 ELO 0)

Stadio Artemio Franchi · Firenze

Officials: Davide Massa

Fiorentina vs AC Milan

FLORENCE, Italy (Interstat) — A dramatic stoppage-time equalizer from substitute Christopher Nkunku salvaged a 1-1 draw for AC Milan against Fiorentina in their Serie A season opener at Stadio Artemio Franchi on Sunday, Jan. 11, 2026. The result, which mirrored the pregame projection from Interstat’s simulator, defied the same service’s predictive metrics that heavily favored the hosts. Fiorentina had been given a 78.70 percent probability to win based on ELO ratings, but was ultimately forced to settle for a share of the points after leading for most of the second half. In a match that was often fractious, with five… Read more...


Top Statlines

Forecasting

ELO Probability ITA-ACMI 80.2%
Projected Score ITA-FIOR 1 ITA-ACMI 1

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