0-0-1 · L1 · - (1360 ELO +24)

0-0-0 · - (1342 ELO -24)

The Gainsborough Martin & Co Arena, Gainsborough

Officials: Andrew Humphries

Gainsborough Trinity FC vs Accring Stanley

GAINSBOROUGH, England (Interstat) — In a dramatic FA Cup upset that defied pregame projections, Accrington Stanley edged past Gainsborough Trinity FC 2-1 on Sunday, advancing to the next round on the strength of a 95th-minute winner from substitute Charlie Caton. The match, played before a vocal crowd at The Gainsborough Martin & Co Arena, saw the visiting Stanley overcome both a resilient non-league side and the weight of statistical expectation. Interstat’s game simulator had projected a 2-1 victory for the home side, with its ELO system giving Gainsborough Trinity a 78.90 percent probability to win. The game’s narrative was one… Read more...


Top Statlines

Forecasting

ELO Probability ENG-GAAF 72.0%
Projected Score ENG-GAAF 2 ENG-ACCG 1

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