SYDNEY (Interstat) — Substitute Max Caputo scored the decisive goal in the 53rd minute to lift Sydney to a 1-0 victory over Melbourne City in an A-League match Tuesday at Allianz Stadium.

The game’s only breakthrough came when fellow substitute Andreas Kuen provided the assist for Caputo’s finish. Kuen later received a yellow card in the 62nd minute, one of two cautions in the defensive second half. Sydney, the projected favorite with an 81.5% win probability per Interstat’s ELO system, improved its record to 1-0-0. Melbourne City fell to 0-1-0 with the road loss. The result defied a pregame simulation that predicted a 2-1 Sydney win.