FALKIRK, Scotland (Interstat) — Dundee United opened its Scottish Premiership season with a 3-2 comeback victory over Falkirk on Saturday, defying a heavy pregame projection.

Interstat’s simulator had forecast a 4-1 win for Falkirk, which held an 82.10 percent probability to win. The hosts started strong at Falkirk Stadium with Benjamin Broggio’s 17th-minute goal. Ross Graham equalized for United seven minutes later.

Falkirk defender Filip Lissah scored in the 53rd, but Craig Sibbald answered two minutes later. Substitute Julius Eskesen netted the 83rd-minute winner for United. Falkirk played a man down after Liam Henderson’s 69th-minute red card. Three substitutes received late yellow cards.

Dundee United begins the league campaign 1-0, while Falkirk starts 0-1.