BIRMINGHAM, England (March 4, 2026) (Interstat) — Chelsea delivered a stunning 4-1 victory over Aston Villa at Villa Park on Wednesday, overwhelmingly defying pre-match projections in a Premier League match.

The visitors erased an early deficit after Villa’s Douglas Luiz scored in the second minute. Substitute João Pedro led Chelsea’s dominant response, netting a hat trick and adding an assist. His goals in the 35th and 45+6 minutes turned the match before he completed his treble in the 64th. Cole Palmer also scored for Chelsea in the 55th.

The result was a significant upset. Statistical models heavily favored Aston Villa, projecting a 78.2% win probability and a narrow 2-1 Chelsea victory. The match featured six yellow cards, including bookings for Chelsea’s João Pedro, Enzo Fernández and Aston Villa’s Matty Cash, Morgan Rogers and Ollie Watkins.