0-0-0 · - (1810 ELO +31)

1-0-1 · L1 · - (1995 ELO -31)

Villa Park · Birmingham

Officials: Tony Harrington

Aston Villa vs Everton FC

BIRMINGHAM, England (Interstat) — In a stunning opening-day upset that defied statistical projections, Everton FC defeated Aston Villa 1-0 on Sunday at Villa Park in a Premier League match decided by a second-half goal from Thierno Barry. The result, played on Jan. 18, 2026, immediately inverts preseason expectations. Data analytics firm Interstat had given the home side an 89 percent probability of victory and projected a 1-1 draw, but Everton’s organized and disciplined performance secured a valuable three points on the road. The first half was a tense, physical affair with few clear chances, as Everton successfully frustrated Villa’s attacking… Read more...


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Forecasting

ELO Probability ENG-ASTO 93.1%
Projected Score ENG-ASTO 1 ENG-EVKK 1

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