BELFAST, Northern Ireland (Interstat) — Northern Ireland seeks to build on its lone victory of the World Cup qualifying campaign when it hosts Luxembourg on Monday, Nov. 17, 2025, at Windsor Park.

The matchup pits a Northern Irish side eager to rebound from a narrow defeat against a Luxembourg team still searching for its first goal in the competition. Northern Ireland (1-2-0, 3 points) is coming off a 1-0 loss to Slovakia on Friday. Its only win this campaign was a 2-0 triumph over that same Slovak side in October.

Luxembourg (0-0-0, 0 points) opened its qualifying schedule with a 1-0 home loss to Slovakia on Sept. 7. Key performers in that match included midfielders Leandro Barreiro Martins and Aiman Dardari, who both played the full 90 minutes.

Statistical models heavily favor the hosts. Interstat’s ELO system gives Northern Ireland an 85.00 percent probability to win, while its game simulator projects a 2-0 final score.

With both teams struggling to generate offense, the match could be a tight, defensive affair. Northern Ireland will look to capitalize on its home-field advantage to secure three crucial points and climb the group table.