AZ 1, Heerenveen 3

HEERENVEEN, Netherlands (Interstat) — In a stunning opening-day upset, Heerenveen defied heavy pregame projections to defeat AZ 3-1 in an Eredivisie match Sunday at Abe Lenstra Stadion. The result flipped the script on statistical models, which heavily favored the visiting side. Interstat’s game simulator had projected a 2-1 victory for AZ, while its ELO system gave AZ a 72.7 percent probability of winning. Heerenveen’s victory was fueled by a rapid-fire pair of first-half goals and a resilient performance after AZ clawed one back in the second half. The win gives Heerenveen a perfect start to their domestic campaign, moving their… Read more...